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Convective Outlook Updated: Enhanced risk 15/08/22 0600 - 16/08/2022 0559

An upper low will bring some heavy and thundery showers to most of the UK as it reacts with surface heating, thunderstorms with moderate or even large size hail are possible across the SEVERE risk areas, whereas the highest risk of severe storms is around West Midland. Elsewhere in the SLIGHT risk area, some sporadic lightning and thunderstorms are possible, especially across parts of East Midland and East Anglia. Surface flooding are also likely across the parts of heaviest showers as very dry surface increase the risk of flooding.




The update removes parts of southwest and Wales from the ENHANCED risk area and extends the ENHANCED risk area across Ireland. The severe risk for large hail and frequent lightning has also extended to parts of north and southeast England.


The latest update removes parts of Midland and Wales from the ENHANCED risk area as confidence decreases

Updated at: 20:00 (BST) 14/08/2022


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