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Convective Outlook Issued: Slight risk 19/10/2023 06:00 - 20/10/2023 05:59

An upper trough is poised to transport a substantial Theta-E airmass, ushering in warm moisture along portions of the English Channel. MLCAPE values are forecasted to locally surpass 1000 J/kg, prompting the development of isolated showers along the upper trough. These showers are expected to progress northeastward at a gradual pace in the afternoon and evening, bringing scattered thunderstorms to parts of southern England. Some of the thunderstorms might be organised, especially across the AOI.

In the meantime, storm Babet will continually bring heavy rain and strong gust across northern parts of the UK, bringing a risk of flooding and disruption.



You can download the kml file of the convective outlook here


(You can upload the file to windy.com to have the graphic overlay)


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