A cold front will develop and bring heavy and squally showers, perhaps some isolated thunderstorms, moving from NW Scotland, expanding itself southeastward toward majority of England and Wales over the early morning. Scattered showers with some hail and isolated tornadoes are possible across England and Wales during the afternoon.
Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) ranging from 200 to 500 J/kg could energize the cold front, leading to the formation of one or more squall lines. Isolated lightning strikes might turn frequent in the eastern regions due to the less saturated profile. Gusty winds within the squall line could cause localized damage. Coastal areas may experience gusts of 60-70 mph, with inland areas of England possibly encountering gusts of 50-60 mph. Intense rainfall and small hail are also potential concerns. There is a risk of tornadoes across many parts of England and Wales due to the strong shearing in the afternoon.
You can download the KML file of the convective outlook here:
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