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Writer's pictureOscar Hayter

Convective Outlook Issued: Low risk 30/08/2023 06:00 - 31/08/2023 05:59

Updated: Aug 30, 2023

There is a small chance of thunderstorms developing throughout the day on Wednesday.


Around the North Sea, there is some CAPE with values between ( 400-700 J/kg) this will bring some showers to the Eastern areas of the UK, perhaps developing into isolated thunderstorms across parts of East Anglia and the South East. However, those thunderstorms will likely stay weak as there is very little low-level and deep-level shear.


Starting from the late morning, the moisture from the upper low will develop into showers, where some of them will be heavy due to surface heating. Most of the strongest convection is due to be in the South East, London and East Anglia in the late afternoon, although most will be heavy showers. If the right conditions come together there will be a better chance of some small cells forming throughout the afternoon/evening on Wednesday.


Forecasters: Oscar Hayter, Handry Luk



You can download the kml file of the convective outlook here


(You can upload the file to windy.com to have the graphic overlay)



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