Later this week, there is a potential for significant heavy rainfall. A complicated low-pressure system is anticipated to form, leading to several bouts of intense rain across various regions of the British Isles, beginning on Wednesday. This could result in excessive rainfall in some areas, leading to potential travel disturbances and localized flooding, particularly in northern England and Scotland.
18/10/2023 Wednesday:
A stretched area of low pressure will approach southern regions of Ireland and England, leading to a period of heavy rainfall in some areas. Accumulation is expected to surpass 25 mm in several places across Ireland, Northern Ireland, Wales, and southwest England. Elevated areas might experience rainfall ranging from 35-55 mm within 24 hours, increasing the possibility of localized flooding in certain areas.
19/10/2023 Thursday - 22/10/2023 Sunday:
As the low-pressure system develops and gradually moves northward on Thursday, strong southeasterly winds will create gusty conditions along eastern coasts. Simultaneously, persistent heavy rain will continue its northward advance. Despite the existing uncertainties, there remains a slight chance of substantial rainfall accumulation in certain areas, particularly over elevated terrain. In the Midlands and southern England, 20-30 mm of rain within 24 hours is possible, with a risk of localized thundery showers. Northern England and Scotland are expected to experience 25-35 mm of rain within 24 hours in lower-lying areas, potentially reaching 40-60 mm within 24 hours in higher regions. The most severe conditions are anticipated in elevated areas of eastern Scotland, where 100-150 mm of rain is possible within 24 hours, potentially exceeding 250 mm within 3 days. This excessive rainfall could lead to significant local impacts, including damaging floods that might pose a danger to life.
Warnings is very likely to be issued in the next few days, as we will be keeping a very close eye on the situation and monitoring 24/7 .
Comments