December: Dry and settled, with a slightly higher-than-normal chance of cold snaps.
Average temperature and slightly wetter across Ireland and Scotland
Average precipitation and average/ slightly colder temperature in the south.
January: Continually dry and settled in the first part of the month,
perhaps turning windier later in the north and west.
Slightly milder and slightly wetter than average across Ireland and Scotland
Average precipitation and the average temperature in England.
Perhaps slightly colder and drier than average in the far SE
February: Weak signal. Perhaps remain dry for most and slightly wetter than average across Ireland
Slightly milder and slightly wetter than average across Ireland and Scotland
Average precipitation and average temperature across England and Wales
Overall, there is a significant NW-SE split in the oncoming winter. With milder and perhaps wetter than average in the NW and drier and perhaps slightly colder than average in parts of England.
(Next update: 20/11/2022)
^ 500 hPa anomaly 2022-23 DJF forecast. *EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT*
^ Most similar years compared to our 500 hPa anomaly product for winter.
^2m mean temperature anomaly forecast for 2023 winter *EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT*
Issued on: 08/10/2022
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