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2023 Summer Forecast Issued *EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT*

June 2023: -Warm, dry and sunny in the first half of June.

- Some rain/ thunderstorms are possible across England and Wales for the second parts of June, while the north remains dry.

July 2023: - Perhaps more rain and thunderstorms across England and Wales, with fewer rain across Scotland in the first week of July.

- Turning increasingly hot and dry in the rest of July.

August 2023:- Turning less hot in the first half of the month, perhaps some thunderstorms across the south at times.

- Chance of wetter and thundery weather return for the rest of August.


Summary: -Scotland might face prologue drought this summer, causing higher than normal risk of wildfire.

-Heatwave(s) possible in the second half of July

-Increasingly thundery across England and Wales for the second half of the Summer.

Chance of 2023 summer will be significantly cooler than average: 2%

Chance of 2023 summer will be cooler than average: 3%

Chance of temperature of 2023 summer will be near average: 35%

Chance of 2023 summer will be hotter than average: 55%

Chance of 2023 summer will be significantly hotter than average: 5%

Chance of 2023 summer will be significantly wetter than average: 2%

Chance of 2023 summer will be wetter than average: 20%

Chance of total precipitation of 2023 summer will be near average: 40%

Chance of 2023 summer will be drier than average: 25%

Chance of 2023 will be significantly drier than average: 13%

Chance of 2023 summer will be significantly clammer than average: 7%

Chance of 2023 summer will be clammer than average: 30%

Chance of wind speed of 2023 summer will be near average: 40%

Chance of 2023 summer will be windier than average: 20%

Chance of 2023 summer will be significantly windier than average: 3%








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